Strategy · 6 min read

Risk-reward ratio explained

Why a “good” ratio means nothing on its own — and how the win-rate maths behind it decides whether a strategy can actually make money.

The risk-reward ratio is one of the first concepts every trader hears about, and one of the most misunderstood. It compares how much you could lose on a trade against how much you’re aiming to gain. But the ratio alone doesn’t tell you whether a strategy is profitable — the win rate sitting behind it does.

How to calculate it

You need three prices: your entry, your stop-loss, and your target.

If you enter at ₹500, set a stop at ₹480 (₹20 risk) and a target at ₹550 (₹50 reward), your ratio is 50 ÷ 20 = 2.5 — written as 1:2.5. You’re risking one unit to make two and a half.

The number that really matters: breakeven win rate

Here’s the insight most explanations skip. A ratio only becomes meaningful when you pair it with how often you actually win. The breakeven win rate is the percentage of trades you’d need to win, at a given ratio, just to break even over many trades.

Breakeven win rate = Risk ÷ (Risk + Reward)
Risk : RewardBreakeven win rate
1 : 150%
1 : 2~33%
1 : 325%
2 : 1~67%

This is why a 1:2 ratio is so popular: you can be wrong two times out of three and still avoid losing money. A 2:1 ratio, by contrast, demands you win two-thirds of the time just to stay even — a much harder bar.

The risk-reward calculator shows both the ratio and the breakeven win rate the moment you type your prices, plus your total rupee risk and reward if you add a quantity.

Putting it together

A useful trade plan needs two things to line up: a ratio that pays you well when you’re right, and a realistic win rate that clears the breakeven bar that ratio sets. A beautiful 1:5 ratio is worthless if your setup only wins 10% of the time. A modest 1:1.5 can be excellent if you win 60%.

Don’t forget charges

One caveat: the ratio is calculated on the gross price move. Brokerage, STT, GST and other charges quietly shrink your real reward and widen your effective risk, especially on small moves. Before trusting a tight edge, check the after-cost picture in the brokerage calculator.

Educational content only, not investment advice. The risk-reward tool evaluates a plan you set; it doesn’t recommend trades. Examples are illustrative.

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